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2019-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 65.2% 34.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% - โœ“
Margin 35.5% 64.5% +3.3 โœ“ (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 45.0% 55.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Bulls +20 (109-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Langston Galloway * 39 3-12 3-10 4-4 3 1 0 0 13 - -
Luke Kennard * 38 4-15 2-7 4-4 1 4 1 0 14 - -
Andre Drummond * 33 3-10 0-1 0-0 14 4 2 3 6 - -
Blake Griffin * 29 4-15 1-5 7-9 8 1 1 0 16 - -
Bruce Brown * 29 1-6 0-2 0-4 5 6 0 2 2 - -
Derrick Rose 24 5-11 0-2 8-9 3 2 1 0 18 - -
Christian Wood 18 5-9 0-3 2-2 10 1 0 3 12 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Markieff Morris 5 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Thon Maker 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 33 3-7 0-0 6-8 15 1 1 1 12 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 29 7-14 3-4 7-11 6 0 1 2 24 - -
Zach LaVine * 27 2-11 1-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 5 - -
Shaquille Harrison * 26 7-12 1-2 0-2 11 5 3 1 15 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 26 6-11 3-5 0-0 4 7 2 0 15 - -
Coby White 22 3-7 3-3 3-3 5 1 0 0 12 - -
Kris Dunn 21 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 5 1 1 6 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 20 3-6 2-4 1-2 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Thaddeus Young 17 4-12 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 9 - -
Daniel Gafford 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 - -

* = starter