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2019-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% -
Bradley-Terry 33.2% 66.8% -
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% -
Efficiency 18.7% 81.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.9% 73.1% -
Log Adjusted 26.9% 73.1% -
Points Off/Def 30.2% 69.8% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +16 (113-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonathan Isaac * 33 6-15 0-4 4-6 13 3 1 3 16 - -
Evan Fournier * 27 7-15 3-6 4-5 2 3 3 0 21 - -
Markelle Fultz * 25 6-14 0-1 0-0 0 4 2 0 12 - -
Aaron Gordon * 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 10 1-7 1-4 0-0 5 5 0 1 3 - -
Terrence Ross 27 5-12 3-9 1-2 2 0 1 1 14 - -
D.J. Augustin 26 1-9 1-4 1-2 2 5 1 0 4 - -
Al-Farouq Aminu 22 1-3 1-1 0-2 5 0 0 0 3 - -
Khem Birch 21 5-7 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 0 12 - -
Mo Bamba 15 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 3 3 - -
Wes Iwundu 12 1-2 0-1 5-6 4 2 0 0 7 - -
Josh Magette 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Melvin Frazier Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 37 7-12 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 15 - -
Pascal Siakam * 34 7-18 1-4 3-4 11 4 1 1 18 - -
Fred VanVleet * 34 10-19 1-5 3-4 1 7 2 0 24 - -
Marc Gasol * 29 2-4 1-2 0-0 6 5 1 1 5 - -
OG Anunoby * 23 3-6 1-3 2-2 4 0 0 1 9 - -
Terence Davis 27 7-10 3-5 2-2 8 5 0 1 19 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 26 3-6 0-1 0-3 5 2 1 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 20 5-10 0-2 4-4 11 1 0 1 14 - -
Matt Thomas 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Oshae Brissett 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Malcolm Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dewan Hernandez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter