Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✓ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +24 (124-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 33 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 27 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 24 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 17 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ante Zizic | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyler Cook | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 9-15 | 9-15 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 32 | 3-16 | 2-4 | 13-13 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 29 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 25 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 30 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 26 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Udonis Haslem | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter