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2019-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 35.2% 64.8% -
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% -
Margin 63.8% 36.2% -3.1 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 68.9% 31.1% -
Efficiency 92.8% 7.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.6% 10.4% -
Log Adjusted 89.6% 10.4% -
Points Off/Def 81.2% 18.8% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -8 (127-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 30 12-17 1-6 8-13 11 4 0 1 33 - -
Wesley Matthews * 27 4-8 2-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 10 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 25 8-17 3-6 9-11 7 5 0 1 28 - -
Brook Lopez * 24 3-8 2-4 4-4 5 1 2 2 12 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 24 4-9 2-5 1-2 5 3 2 0 11 - -
George Hill 22 3-6 1-3 2-2 3 4 0 0 9 - -
Sterling Brown 19 2-4 2-3 2-2 4 2 0 1 8 - -
Robin Lopez 19 4-5 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 9 - -
D.J. Wilson 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 - -
Pat Connaughton 15 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 2 7 - -
Kyle Korver 12 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 33 8-22 1-5 8-10 2 8 3 0 25 - -
Cam Reddish * 28 6-10 3-3 2-4 3 1 1 0 17 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 28 8-12 3-3 8-9 11 2 0 0 27 - -
Jabari Parker * 26 6-11 2-4 0-0 3 3 2 0 14 - -
Damian Jones * 19 3-6 0-1 2-2 8 1 0 0 8 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 23 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 2 2 - -
Vince Carter 23 5-13 3-9 0-0 1 2 0 0 13 - -
Allen Crabbe 19 2-6 2-4 4-5 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Evan Turner 14 3-6 0-0 1-1 2 3 0 0 7 - -
Bruno Fernando 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 4 - -
Alex Len 8 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter