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2019-11-21

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 34.6% 65.4% -
Bradley-Terry 39.7% 60.3% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.2% 66.8% -
Efficiency 15.7% 84.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.9% 81.1% -
Log Adjusted 18.9% 81.1% -
Points Off/Def 24.4% 75.6% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +5 (109-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Morris Sr. * 40 8-21 4-7 2-2 13 6 2 0 22 - -
Julius Randle * 35 5-13 2-4 5-8 8 2 3 0 17 - -
RJ Barrett * 35 4-12 0-1 0-0 7 3 3 1 8 - -
Frank Ntilikina * 32 6-8 2-4 3-4 1 0 0 1 17 - -
Taj Gibson * 13 5-6 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 11 - -
Bobby Portis 23 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Damyean Dotson 19 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 15 5-9 2-3 1-1 0 2 0 0 13 - -
Mitchell Robinson 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 4 - -
Kevin Knox II 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 41 7-9 1-1 3-4 7 13 1 1 18 - -
Joel Embiid * 33 7-19 1-7 8-12 12 5 0 1 23 - -
Tobias Harris * 31 5-13 2-5 2-4 4 4 0 0 14 - -
Al Horford * 25 3-11 1-2 0-0 6 2 2 1 7 - -
Furkan Korkmaz * 16 1-5 0-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Mike Scott 23 4-8 4-6 0-0 4 0 0 1 12 - -
James Ennis III 21 4-7 2-3 1-2 4 2 0 1 11 - -
Shake Milton 16 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Trey Burke 14 3-6 1-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 9 - -
Matisse Thybulle 14 2-5 1-1 2-2 2 1 2 0 7 - -

* = starter