Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +5 (112-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 30 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 9-11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 30 | 12-20 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 23 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 37 | 13-24 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 37 | 10-21 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 33 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 27 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Quinn Cook | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter