Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | +2.1 | ✗ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -19 (95-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burks * | 35 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 9-9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 33 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall * | 24 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Ky Bowman | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 22 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 21 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 16 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 34 | 7-20 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 33 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 32 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 25 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marko Guduric | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Caboclo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter