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2019-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% -
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% -
Margin 55.2% 44.8% -1.1 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% -
Efficiency 75.1% 24.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.7% 28.3% -
Log Adjusted 71.7% 28.3% -
Points Off/Def 60.4% 39.6% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -14 (85-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 29 5-12 3-10 4-4 3 4 2 1 17 - -
Kemba Walker * 29 9-19 1-7 0-0 2 5 0 0 19 - -
Jaylen Brown * 29 6-16 2-5 0-2 9 3 1 0 14 - -
Jayson Tatum * 27 8-16 3-9 7-9 11 3 1 0 26 - -
Daniel Theis * 27 0-2 0-1 0-0 11 0 0 1 0 - -
Brad Wanamaker 29 4-9 2-4 0-0 1 6 3 0 10 - -
Grant Williams 17 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 2 4 - -
Semi Ojeleye 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Robert Williams III 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 1 0 - -
Carsen Edwards 10 1-5 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Enes Kanter 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 34 7-13 2-4 4-4 1 4 0 0 20 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 33 5-13 1-5 4-6 6 1 1 1 15 - -
Dario Saric * 28 3-13 2-6 1-2 10 3 2 0 9 - -
Aron Baynes * 26 4-9 1-5 0-0 6 5 1 0 9 - -
Jevon Carter * 24 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 2 3 - -
Tyler Johnson 24 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 1 6 - -
Cameron Johnson 23 3-10 2-7 0-0 5 1 0 1 8 - -
Frank Kaminsky 16 2-7 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 5 - -
Mikal Bridges 14 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Elie Okobo 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 - -
Cheick Diallo 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter