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2019-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% -
Bradley-Terry 58.0% 42.0% -
Margin 63.5% 36.5% -3.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 61.2% 38.8% -
Efficiency 87.6% 12.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.1% 15.9% -
Log Adjusted 84.1% 15.9% -
Points Off/Def 73.6% 26.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -14 (101-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 33 13-22 2-6 5-12 10 2 3 1 33 27 -
Brook Lopez * 30 5-11 1-5 8-9 10 2 2 5 19 27 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 28 5-9 3-6 2-2 4 4 3 0 15 17 -
Eric Bledsoe * 28 2-11 1-4 3-5 6 5 1 1 8 10 -
Wesley Matthews * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 -
George Hill 26 5-9 4-7 4-4 4 0 0 0 18 13 -
Sterling Brown 24 2-6 2-4 2-3 5 6 1 0 8 14 -
Ersan Ilyasova 15 3-8 0-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 6 5 -
Kyle Korver 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Pat Connaughton 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
Robin Lopez 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 5 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 27 3-6 0-1 0-0 8 0 1 0 6 9 -
Zach LaVine * 27 4-16 2-7 1-2 8 4 0 0 11 7 -
Lauri Markkanen * 26 2-12 0-4 5-6 8 0 1 0 9 6 -
Chandler Hutchison * 21 2-8 1-3 2-2 5 2 1 0 7 7 -
Tomas Satoransky * 17 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 1 -
Ryan Arcidiacono 27 4-7 4-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 12 11 -
Kris Dunn 25 4-8 0-2 0-0 6 9 1 2 8 18 -
Coby White 24 5-15 3-6 0-0 3 3 1 0 13 5 -
Thaddeus Young 21 3-7 1-3 2-2 3 3 0 2 9 10 -
Daniel Gafford 20 10-12 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 2 21 17 -

* = starter