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2019-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% -
Bradley-Terry 29.5% 70.5% -
Margin 22.7% 77.3% +6.7 (29.3 off)
Pythagorean 30.8% 69.2% -
Efficiency 6.6% 93.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.4% 86.6% -
Log Adjusted 13.4% 86.6% -
Points Off/Def 20.5% 79.5% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +36 (132-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 27 5-10 2-5 1-1 5 2 1 1 13 - -
Devonte' Graham * 26 4-9 3-7 0-0 2 5 1 0 11 - -
Terry Rozier * 26 4-11 2-6 0-0 3 4 0 0 10 - -
P.J. Washington * 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 5 - -
Cody Zeller * 15 3-6 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 1 8 - -
Nicolas Batum 24 1-4 1-4 0-0 6 5 0 1 3 - -
Marvin Williams 23 4-5 3-4 3-3 4 1 0 2 14 - -
Malik Monk 22 2-9 0-5 3-4 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Bismack Biyombo 19 5-7 0-0 3-8 2 0 0 2 13 - -
Willy Hernangomez 10 1-2 0-1 3-6 3 1 0 1 5 - -
Cody Martin 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 - -
Dwayne Bacon 8 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 8 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 34 7-14 3-6 3-3 8 5 1 1 20 - -
Fred VanVleet * 30 3-12 2-6 3-4 4 8 5 0 11 - -
Marc Gasol * 29 2-4 1-3 0-0 8 9 0 1 5 - -
OG Anunoby * 27 10-13 4-7 0-0 5 2 1 0 24 - -
Norman Powell * 25 7-15 2-8 1-2 2 6 2 0 17 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 20 6-10 0-0 3-3 8 2 0 0 15 - -
Terence Davis 20 5-7 4-5 2-2 1 7 1 0 16 - -
Chris Boucher 18 5-11 1-2 0-1 11 0 1 0 11 - -
Matt Thomas 15 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 - -
Malcolm Miller 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Dewan Hernandez 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 - -
Oshae Brissett 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter