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2019-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 73.4% 26.6% -
Bradley-Terry 55.1% 44.9% -
Margin 59.9% 40.1% -2.2 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 34.3% 65.7% -
Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.2% 77.8% -
Log Adjusted 22.2% 77.8% -
Points Off/Def 26.7% 73.3% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +8 (108-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Glenn Robinson III * 35 6-13 1-4 1-1 6 2 0 0 14 9 -
Eric Paschall * 34 10-17 2-4 8-10 7 2 0 0 30 22 -
Draymond Green * 32 2-10 1-3 2-2 6 4 2 1 7 10 -
Alec Burks * 29 2-13 0-4 3-4 4 5 0 0 7 3 -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 24 4-5 0-0 1-1 4 1 3 1 9 13 -
Ky Bowman 27 8-16 3-7 0-0 2 4 1 0 19 10 -
Jordan Poole 23 0-7 0-3 0-1 5 3 0 0 0 1 -
Marquese Chriss 18 3-6 0-0 4-4 7 2 1 1 10 15 -
Omari Spellman 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 2 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 37 9-23 0-5 4-4 8 9 1 1 22 18 -
Kenrich Williams * 35 2-8 0-4 1-1 10 4 0 1 5 12 -
JJ Redick * 35 8-16 6-11 4-4 3 3 0 0 26 16 -
Jaxson Hayes * 31 3-5 0-0 4-6 10 0 1 3 10 19 -
E'Twaun Moore * 24 3-10 2-5 2-4 7 0 0 0 10 7 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 34 7-18 5-13 0-0 5 4 1 0 19 11 -
Nicolo Melli 26 5-8 5-7 1-1 5 3 0 0 16 16 -
Josh Gray 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Zylan Cheatham 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter