Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✗ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -17 (114-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 31 | 14-24 | 7-12 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 39 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 20 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 28 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 24 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jae Crowder * | 26 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 23 | 6-12 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 22 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 24 | 8-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Marko Guduric | 22 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 18 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bruno Caboclo | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - |
* = starter