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2019-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 19.2% 80.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% - ✓
Margin 33.3% 66.7% +3.8 ✓ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% - ✓
Efficiency 35.9% 64.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 36.5% 63.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 36.5% 63.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic +4 (125-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 39 12-26 5-10 5-6 6 8 1 0 34 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 28 6-13 0-3 1-2 0 5 2 0 13 - -
Rui Hachimura * 27 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Thomas Bryant * 27 6-10 1-2 1-1 6 4 0 1 14 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 23 1-5 0-2 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 - -
Davis Bertans 32 5-11 5-11 0-0 8 1 2 0 15 - -
Moritz Wagner 20 5-8 2-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 12 - -
CJ Miles 20 6-10 6-7 3-3 0 1 1 0 21 - -
Ish Smith 19 2-7 0-2 0-0 4 5 1 1 4 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 36 5-16 1-5 2-2 9 2 0 0 13 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 11-14 3-4 5-5 17 6 0 1 30 - -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 31 2-8 0-3 2-2 6 2 0 0 6 - -
Evan Fournier * 31 7-13 5-8 6-8 1 9 1 0 25 - -
Markelle Fultz * 25 8-10 2-3 1-1 3 2 1 0 19 - -
D.J. Augustin 24 5-9 3-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 13 - -
Terrence Ross 24 4-11 1-7 6-6 4 1 2 0 15 - -
Mo Bamba 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 - -
Wes Iwundu 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 2 - -
Michael Carter-Williams 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter