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2019-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 78.2% 21.8% -
Bradley-Terry 60.9% 39.1% -
Margin 75.9% 24.1% -6.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.7% 43.3% -
Efficiency 77.2% 22.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.2% 28.8% -
Log Adjusted 71.2% 28.8% -
Points Off/Def 60.3% 39.7% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +1 (100-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 35 7-16 4-7 0-0 8 0 2 0 18 - -
Marcus Smart * 32 2-16 1-8 0-0 5 9 1 0 5 - -
Kemba Walker * 31 5-12 0-3 5-5 1 9 1 0 15 - -
Jayson Tatum * 30 6-13 1-4 1-1 6 2 0 1 14 - -
Daniel Theis * 22 5-6 0-0 4-4 10 1 0 0 14 - -
Semi Ojeleye 21 4-5 3-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 11 - -
Brad Wanamaker 19 2-4 0-0 4-4 2 3 1 1 8 - -
Enes Kanter 18 2-5 0-0 6-8 7 0 0 1 10 - -
Carsen Edwards 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Robert Williams III 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 - -
Javonte Green 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 38 14-24 7-12 0-0 6 2 4 1 35 - -
Harrison Barnes * 33 4-10 3-6 2-2 3 3 1 0 13 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 30 5-10 1-4 1-2 14 4 0 1 12 - -
Richaun Holmes * 26 2-7 0-0 5-6 11 0 0 2 9 - -
Cory Joseph * 26 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 1 2 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 31 5-14 2-7 0-0 3 10 2 0 12 - -
Yogi Ferrell 16 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Trevor Ariza 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Harry Giles III 11 4-9 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 8 - -
Dewayne Dedmon 10 3-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 7 - -

* = starter