Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -5 (116-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 40 | 4-19 | 1-9 | 13-13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 38 | 13-25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 35 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood * | 31 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 16 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mario Hezonja | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Skal Labissiere | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 34 | 12-20 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 23 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 20 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter