Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +8 (110-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 41 | 6-24 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 38 | 8-18 | 4-11 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 32 | 9-15 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 16 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxi Kleber * | 38 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 15-19 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 35 | 7-20 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 32 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 19 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 19 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter