Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✗ (23.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -20 (105-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 38 | 16-41 | 8-22 | 9-11 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 49 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 37 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore * | 37 | 7-16 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 34 | 8-17 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tyson Chandler * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Clemons | 28 | 7-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Layman * | 36 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 33 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 32 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Treveon Graham * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 28 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 16 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jordan Bell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter