Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +15 (109-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenrich Williams * | 39 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 39 | 7-19 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 36 | 5-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson * | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 30 | 10-18 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 27 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 23 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Gray | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zylan Cheatham | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Nunn * | 39 | 10-19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 37 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 30 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 32 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 28 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Daryl Macon | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter