Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | -2.8 | ✓ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -19 (83-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 28 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 30 | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 19 | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 26 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 24 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 20 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 25 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Kyle Korver | 19 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - | |
| George Hill | 18 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 17 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| D.J. Wilson | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Warren * | 35 | 6-21 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 33 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 33 | 5-18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 29 | 3-13 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 19 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Naz Mitrou-Long | 14 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| TJ Leaf | 10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Alize Johnson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Brian Bowen II | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter