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2019-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 51.9% 48.1% -
Bradley-Terry 51.7% 48.3% -
Margin 60.1% 39.9% -2.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 66.8% 33.2% -
Efficiency 89.5% 10.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.3% 15.7% -
Log Adjusted 84.3% 15.7% -
Points Off/Def 73.0% 27.0% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -5 (100-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 8-23 2-7 6-7 8 1 3 0 24 - -
Marcus Smart * 34 5-12 5-9 0-0 3 4 2 1 15 - -
Kemba Walker * 34 6-19 3-12 5-5 5 5 1 1 20 - -
Jaylen Brown * 34 9-17 3-3 1-2 8 3 3 0 22 - -
Daniel Theis * 21 3-7 0-1 1-3 7 0 2 1 7 - -
Brad Wanamaker 18 2-4 0-0 5-6 1 3 1 0 9 - -
Grant Williams 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 - -
Enes Kanter 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 4 - -
Carsen Edwards 12 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Robert Williams III 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 - -
Semi Ojeleye 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Draymond Green * 34 3-6 1-4 4-5 11 4 2 1 11 - -
Eric Paschall * 33 6-14 1-4 3-5 8 1 0 0 16 - -
Glenn Robinson III * 32 3-11 1-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 25 5-6 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 1 10 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 25 5-10 1-6 1-2 2 7 1 1 12 - -
Alec Burks 30 4-11 1-3 11-12 3 1 1 0 20 - -
Jordan Poole 21 1-8 0-5 2-2 6 1 1 0 4 - -
Ky Bowman 13 3-8 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Marquese Chriss 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Omari Spellman 11 2-5 0-1 4-6 8 0 0 1 8 - -

* = starter