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2019-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 11.0% 89.0% -
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% -
Margin 18.9% 81.1% +8.0 (29.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% -
Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% -
Log Adjusted 46.8% 53.2% -
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -21 (116-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 36 15-22 1-5 13-14 3 10 2 1 44 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 26 5-8 0-2 1-2 7 2 2 0 11 - -
Rui Hachimura * 25 4-10 0-2 0-0 4 3 2 0 8 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 23 4-8 2-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 10 - -
Thomas Bryant * 22 5-9 0-2 2-2 9 2 0 0 12 - -
Moritz Wagner 25 13-15 4-4 0-2 15 2 1 1 30 - -
Davis Bertans 24 4-10 0-4 0-0 4 3 0 1 8 - -
Ish Smith 21 0-5 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 - -
Jordan McRae 18 1-8 1-3 0-0 4 7 0 2 3 - -
CJ Miles 12 2-4 1-3 3-5 0 1 2 0 8 - -
Isaac Bonga 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 33 13-18 4-6 6-8 10 3 0 1 36 - -
Jarrett Culver * 30 4-10 2-5 1-4 3 3 3 0 11 - -
Jeff Teague * 28 4-13 0-3 5-6 1 11 0 1 13 - -
Robert Covington * 26 6-9 4-6 4-5 6 1 1 0 20 - -
Treveon Graham * 23 2-7 0-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 4 - -
Jake Layman 27 2-7 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Josh Okogie 27 5-10 0-2 2-2 6 2 1 0 12 - -
Kelan Martin 12 3-9 0-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Gorgui Dieng 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 2 3 - -
Noah Vonleh 9 2-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Jordan Bell 4 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter