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2019-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 42.2% 57.8% +1.7 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Log Adjusted 42.0% 58.0% -
Points Off/Def 38.8% 61.2% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +9 (111-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 35 6-12 0-0 6-8 13 3 0 0 18 - -
Aaron Holiday * 27 4-11 2-7 2-2 4 5 1 0 12 - -
T.J. Warren * 22 1-8 1-5 5-6 2 0 0 0 8 - -
JaKarr Sampson * 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 4 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 9 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 - -
Justin Holiday 39 4-13 2-11 0-0 5 3 0 0 10 - -
Doug McDermott 32 7-15 3-6 1-1 5 0 0 0 18 - -
T.J. McConnell 22 5-7 0-0 2-3 0 7 0 0 12 - -
Goga Bitadze 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 6 - -
TJ Leaf 15 5-6 0-0 2-4 7 1 1 0 12 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 40 13-26 6-14 12-14 8 5 4 0 44 - -
P.J. Tucker * 39 2-6 1-4 0-1 12 0 2 1 5 - -
Russell Westbrook * 35 5-21 1-6 6-6 8 6 1 0 17 - -
Ben McLemore * 32 6-13 4-11 5-6 3 0 0 0 21 - -
Tyson Chandler * 24 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 - -
Austin Rivers 30 4-10 0-4 2-2 5 1 2 0 10 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 4 - -
Thabo Sefolosha 13 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Chris Clemons 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Gary Clark 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter