Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | -0.3 | ✗ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +2 (111-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 29 | 4-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 20 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 20 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 19 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vucevic * | 36 | 4-16 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 5-8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 32 | 9-15 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 27 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter