🐻⬇️🏀

@
2019-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 77.5% 22.5% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 48.8% 51.2% +0.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% -
Log Adjusted 53.5% 46.5% -
Points Off/Def 47.6% 52.4% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +3 (109-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 38 8-16 0-0 0-0 20 2 0 0 16 - -
Luke Kennard * 37 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 5 0 1 5 - -
Blake Griffin * 29 6-19 1-8 6-6 3 6 1 1 19 - -
Bruce Brown * 22 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 7 1 1 5 - -
Tony Snell * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Langston Galloway 37 11-16 7-11 3-3 2 1 0 0 32 - -
Derrick Rose 26 6-7 2-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 16 - -
Markieff Morris 18 3-9 2-5 0-0 7 1 1 0 8 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Christian Wood 6 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Thon Maker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 38 8-23 2-12 0-0 5 10 0 0 18 - -
Terry Rozier * 32 8-18 2-6 1-1 5 2 3 0 19 - -
Cody Zeller * 28 4-9 1-1 1-1 7 1 1 0 10 - -
Miles Bridges * 24 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 7 - -
P.J. Washington * 18 4-7 3-3 0-0 5 1 1 1 11 - -
Marvin Williams 29 3-8 2-5 0-0 4 0 2 0 8 - -
Cody Martin 26 2-6 0-2 3-6 6 5 3 0 7 - -
Malik Monk 21 8-12 2-4 1-2 4 1 0 0 19 - -
Bismack Biyombo 19 3-7 0-0 4-6 3 1 0 1 10 - -

* = starter