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2019-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% -
Bradley-Terry 28.9% 71.1% -
Margin 22.9% 77.1% +6.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 32.8% 67.2% -
Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.9% 90.1% -
Log Adjusted 9.9% 90.1% -
Points Off/Def 17.2% 82.8% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +9 (124-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 32 8-20 4-9 5-5 3 7 3 1 25 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 31 2-9 2-6 5-6 8 0 1 0 11 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 27 4-8 2-5 0-0 4 5 3 0 10 - -
Chandler Hutchison * 21 2-6 0-1 2-2 7 3 1 0 6 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 20 6-7 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 14 - -
Coby White 34 9-23 6-13 2-2 5 3 3 0 26 - -
Thaddeus Young 25 3-8 2-4 3-4 7 1 0 0 11 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 23 2-6 1-3 2-4 1 3 0 0 7 - -
Kris Dunn 21 2-6 1-2 0-0 3 2 3 0 5 - -
Shaquille Harrison 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 13-24 1-5 11-20 16 4 3 1 38 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 31 12-14 0-2 7-8 4 8 2 0 31 - -
Wesley Matthews * 26 2-6 1-5 10-13 4 0 0 0 15 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 24 2-5 0-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 4 - -
Brook Lopez * 21 6-14 1-7 0-0 6 0 0 0 13 - -
George Hill 28 1-5 0-2 1-1 2 6 1 0 3 - -
Sterling Brown 20 0-5 0-2 0-0 9 0 1 0 0 - -
Pat Connaughton 19 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 6 - -
Kyle Korver 11 1-5 1-3 3-3 2 0 0 2 6 - -
Robin Lopez 10 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 6 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 9 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter