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2019-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 41.2% 58.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.2% 54.8% -
Margin 49.7% 50.3% +0.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 62.7% 37.3% -
Efficiency 86.3% 13.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% -
Log Adjusted 81.7% 18.3% -
Points Off/Def 70.6% 29.4% -

Actual: New York Knicks +3 (106-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 35 10-23 3-12 10-13 10 11 3 1 33 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 33 7-17 1-5 5-5 11 1 1 3 20 - -
Dwight Powell * 29 5-9 1-1 1-1 4 2 0 0 12 - -
Seth Curry * 23 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 23 3-4 1-2 0-2 2 1 1 1 7 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 24 4-10 2-7 2-4 4 0 0 1 12 - -
Delon Wright 22 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 2 2 1 4 - -
Maxi Kleber 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Brunson 15 1-4 0-2 1-2 0 2 1 0 3 - -
Boban Marjanovic 14 4-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 10 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 36 8-18 1-5 0-0 10 3 0 0 17 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 33 7-19 5-7 1-1 5 0 1 1 20 - -
RJ Barrett * 30 3-10 0-2 2-2 7 2 1 0 8 - -
Frank Ntilikina * 18 1-4 1-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Taj Gibson * 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 4 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 29 5-12 2-4 1-2 6 8 0 0 13 - -
Damyean Dotson 23 3-8 1-5 0-0 2 3 3 0 7 - -
Mitchell Robinson 22 7-8 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 1 16 - -
Bobby Portis 16 4-8 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 10 - -
Kevin Knox II 14 2-3 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Wayne Ellington 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter