Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | +0.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -11 (97-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 39 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 38 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 37 | 10-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 22 | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 28 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 25 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 22 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Chris Silva | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Love * | 38 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 27 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 24 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - | |
| Tristan Thompson * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 26 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 22 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
* = starter