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2019-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 63.6% 36.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% -
Margin 45.2% 54.8% +1.0 (25.0 off)
Pythagorean 27.3% 72.7% -
Efficiency 3.2% 96.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.3% 90.7% -
Log Adjusted 9.3% 90.7% -
Points Off/Def 16.9% 83.1% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +26 (120-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 31 4-15 3-12 0-0 1 0 1 0 11 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 31 6-13 0-4 9-10 2 8 1 1 21 - -
Draymond Green * 28 4-10 2-4 0-0 1 5 1 1 10 - -
Glenn Robinson III * 27 4-7 1-3 0-0 4 5 3 0 9 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 22 5-7 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 2 10 - -
Eric Paschall 32 7-15 0-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 15 - -
Alec Burks 21 2-7 2-4 3-5 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Marquese Chriss 16 0-5 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 2 0 - -
Omari Spellman 15 2-7 0-2 0-0 7 1 1 0 4 - -
Ky Bowman 12 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 3 1 1 5 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 30 7-12 3-6 5-6 5 2 0 0 22 - -
JaVale McGee * 27 8-12 0-0 2-2 17 2 3 3 18 - -
LeBron James * 26 11-21 1-5 0-1 6 12 1 1 23 - -
Avery Bradley * 23 2-5 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Danny Green * 18 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Alex Caruso 27 3-7 1-2 1-1 6 3 1 0 8 - -
Quinn Cook 24 5-11 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 10 - -
Jared Dudley 22 2-3 2-2 0-0 3 4 0 1 6 - -
Dwight Howard 20 5-7 0-0 5-6 8 3 0 1 15 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 18 3-9 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 - -

* = starter