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2019-11-14

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 50.3% 49.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% - โœ“
Margin 33.2% 66.8% +3.8 โœ“ (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 56.1% 43.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 54.9% 45.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 48.9% 51.1% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +15 (129-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 33 12-18 0-0 3-4 5 4 1 2 27 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 31 10-16 0-1 3-4 4 2 0 1 23 - -
Bryn Forbes * 23 5-10 2-7 1-1 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Trey Lyles * 22 0-2 0-1 0-0 11 3 1 0 0 - -
Dejounte Murray * 21 2-6 0-0 7-7 4 1 0 0 11 - -
Derrick White 24 2-7 0-0 1-3 3 4 1 0 5 - -
Patty Mills 21 3-10 1-4 3-3 0 1 0 0 10 - -
Rudy Gay 21 3-8 0-1 4-4 8 3 0 1 10 - -
Marco Belinelli 19 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Jakob Poeltl 11 3-4 0-0 1-3 3 2 1 0 7 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Chimezie Metu 4 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 31 12-23 4-7 2-2 8 7 2 1 30 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 30 7-15 3-9 11-13 11 4 2 0 28 - -
Jarrett Culver * 27 6-10 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 2 12 - -
Treveon Graham * 26 1-4 0-2 0-1 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Robert Covington * 23 3-6 2-4 2-2 5 0 1 0 10 - -
Jake Layman 29 7-9 1-3 1-2 3 1 2 0 16 - -
Josh Okogie 27 1-8 0-2 4-4 10 2 1 0 6 - -
Jeff Teague 22 6-10 1-4 5-6 2 6 2 0 18 - -
Noah Vonleh 13 2-3 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 1 7 - -
Gorgui Dieng 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter