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2019-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 8.6% 91.4% -
Bradley-Terry 19.7% 80.3% -
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.7% 64.3% -
Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% -
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% -
Points Off/Def 22.3% 77.7% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +7 (140-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 39 17-27 4-6 6-8 5 6 1 0 44 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 32 7-14 3-6 1-1 1 7 0 0 18 - -
Thomas Bryant * 28 5-13 0-2 4-5 7 1 0 2 14 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 27 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 5 0 0 7 - -
Rui Hachimura * 24 9-12 0-1 3-4 4 2 1 0 21 - -
Davis Bertans 27 3-9 3-8 0-0 10 3 0 1 9 - -
Ish Smith 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 4 - -
Moritz Wagner 17 2-6 0-1 8-9 2 1 1 0 12 - -
CJ Miles 13 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 - -
Jordan McRae 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 36 6-12 4-8 1-2 4 5 0 2 17 - -
Jayson Tatum * 34 9-20 1-5 4-4 3 4 0 0 23 - -
Kemba Walker * 34 8-17 6-12 3-3 5 5 1 1 25 - -
Jaylen Brown * 34 9-19 0-3 4-4 5 4 1 0 22 - -
Enes Kanter * 25 4-5 0-0 5-6 9 2 1 0 13 - -
Carsen Edwards 20 7-12 4-5 0-0 4 3 1 0 18 - -
Brad Wanamaker 16 2-3 0-1 6-6 2 5 0 0 10 - -
Semi Ojeleye 10 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Grant Williams 10 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 1 2 - -
Vincent Poirier 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 3 0 1 3 - -
Javonte Green 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter