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2019-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% -
Bradley-Terry 60.8% 39.2% -
Margin 68.7% 31.3% -4.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% -
Efficiency 70.4% 29.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% -
Log Adjusted 63.7% 36.3% -
Points Off/Def 53.9% 46.1% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -2 (117-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae Crowder * 31 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 - -
Ja Morant * 30 10-15 1-2 2-3 1 11 1 0 23 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 29 5-9 4-6 2-2 6 1 1 1 16 - -
Dillon Brooks * 28 6-13 3-6 0-0 3 4 2 1 15 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 23 9-13 0-0 0-0 13 2 0 1 18 - -
Solomon Hill 21 3-8 3-6 0-0 3 4 0 0 9 - -
Brandon Clarke 21 6-9 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 13 - -
Marko Guduric 19 6-9 4-6 1-1 2 0 1 1 17 - -
Kyle Anderson 17 2-5 0-1 1-3 7 4 3 1 5 - -
Tyus Jones 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 36 13-20 7-11 0-0 5 6 2 0 33 - -
Devonte' Graham * 34 7-19 4-10 1-1 1 4 0 1 19 - -
Miles Bridges * 33 5-11 2-2 2-2 4 7 1 1 14 - -
Cody Zeller * 33 6-8 1-2 3-4 8 2 2 0 16 - -
P.J. Washington * 26 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 2 5 - -
Malik Monk 29 8-13 1-2 3-4 8 5 0 1 20 - -
Cody Martin 21 1-5 0-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Marvin Williams 13 0-2 0-1 2-4 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Bismack Biyombo 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 - -

* = starter