Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +8 (107-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 13-14 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 36 | 11-21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mario Hezonja * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 20 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 27 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Skal Labissiere | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Anthony Tolliver | 18 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 37 | 7-21 | 2-11 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 37 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 35 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 31 | 8-19 | 3-8 | 6-7 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter