Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -8 (115-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 37 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 2-7 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 37 | 9-17 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 26 | - | |
| Avery Bradley * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Danny Green * | 25 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 10 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 25 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Quinn Cook | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 39 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 38 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - | |
| Dario Saric * | 34 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| Aron Baynes * | 26 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 27 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 22 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - | |
| Tyler Johnson | 16 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - | |
| Mikal Bridges | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter