Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -4 (121-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 41 | 13-21 | 8-13 | 8-11 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 42 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 40 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jabari Parker * | 33 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 15 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 21 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 20 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyrone Wallace | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 40 | 4-15 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 36 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 7-19 | 1-8 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 29 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 21 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 18 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter