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2019-11-13

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% -
Efficiency 33.4% 66.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Log Adjusted 36.2% 63.8% -
Points Off/Def 36.1% 63.9% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +18 (120-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 36 5-15 1-5 6-9 6 3 2 0 17 - -
RJ Barrett * 31 8-16 2-4 3-6 6 9 2 0 21 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 31 6-17 3-9 7-9 9 1 0 1 22 - -
Frank Ntilikina * 28 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 4 3 0 3 - -
Taj Gibson * 25 8-10 0-0 1-1 5 2 2 0 17 - -
Kevin Knox II 32 3-7 2-4 2-4 3 4 0 0 10 - -
Bobby Portis 19 3-9 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 - -
Damyean Dotson 12 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Allonzo Trier 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 35 7-11 0-0 3-6 12 0 0 0 17 - -
Zach LaVine * 30 9-19 3-8 4-5 2 5 1 0 25 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 27 4-10 1-5 4-4 8 2 1 1 13 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 23 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Chandler Hutchison * 20 2-4 1-1 2-4 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Thaddeus Young 29 3-9 0-3 2-2 7 1 1 0 8 - -
Coby White 27 8-14 7-11 4-4 3 1 1 0 27 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 21 1-3 0-1 3-4 3 8 2 0 5 - -
Kris Dunn 19 5-6 1-2 2-2 5 2 3 1 13 - -
Shaquille Harrison 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Daniel Gafford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter