Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (117-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kennard * | 37 | 8-18 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 35 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 23 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris * | 21 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 28 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 26 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Thon Maker | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tim Frazier | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 8-11 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 36 | 6-16 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 29 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 27 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 32 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 29 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Daryl Macon | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Udonis Haslem | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter