Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.8% | 47.2% | -0.6 | ✗ (26.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +26 (111-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 28 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 24 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 19 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 17 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Devon Hall | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Holiday * | 31 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 31 | 10-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 29 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 25 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson * | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 28 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 26 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| TJ Leaf | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alize Johnson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brian Bowen II | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Naz Mitrou-Long | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter