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2019-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 12.1% 87.9% -
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% -
Margin 56.5% 43.5% -1.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% -
Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% -
Log Adjusted 47.4% 52.6% -
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -4 (109-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 37 10-17 4-6 0-0 6 5 1 1 24 - -
Dillon Brooks * 35 8-17 1-4 4-6 2 3 2 0 21 - -
Jae Crowder * 30 3-5 1-3 1-2 10 4 1 0 8 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 27 9-12 0-1 0-0 12 1 0 2 18 - -
Ja Morant * 24 2-12 1-3 4-6 4 3 0 0 9 - -
Tyus Jones 23 3-10 0-5 2-2 1 6 0 0 8 - -
Kyle Anderson 17 0-2 0-1 3-4 3 2 0 2 3 - -
Brandon Clarke 17 6-7 2-2 0-0 8 1 0 0 14 - -
Solomon Hill 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 3 3 0 3 - -
Marko Guduric 12 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 5 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 34 6-15 0-2 0-1 7 7 0 0 12 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 32 8-15 0-0 3-4 4 3 2 0 19 - -
Bryn Forbes * 27 5-12 4-9 0-0 1 1 0 0 14 - -
Dejounte Murray * 19 1-3 0-0 2-3 6 4 1 1 4 - -
Trey Lyles * 18 3-5 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 1 7 - -
Derrick White 28 5-13 2-6 3-3 3 5 0 1 15 - -
Rudy Gay 27 6-9 3-4 3-3 8 2 0 1 18 - -
Patty Mills 20 4-7 0-3 1-2 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Marco Belinelli 16 2-7 2-4 1-1 0 2 1 0 7 - -
Jakob Poeltl 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 - -

* = starter