Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -6 (116-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 38 | 13-25 | 3-11 | 10-14 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 39 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 36 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 35 | 11-21 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 29 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tyson Chandler | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenrich Williams * | 38 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 38 | 6-21 | 0-7 | 6-8 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick * | 36 | 7-16 | 7-15 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 29 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 5-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 23 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 13 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter