Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.9% | 72.1% | +5.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +10 (116-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 33 | 11-21 | 3-10 | 9-10 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 32 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 19 | 1-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 27 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 20 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 38 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 36 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 34 | 1-18 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 33 | 9-17 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 21 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 13 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Carsen Edwards | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter