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2019-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 33.2% 66.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% - โœ“
Margin 56.7% 43.3% -1.5 โœ“ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 49.5% 50.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% - โœ—

Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (114-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 35 12-20 3-5 6-8 6 5 1 1 33 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 30 10-17 4-7 1-1 8 6 0 2 25 - -
Josh Okogie * 25 0-4 0-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 2 - -
Treveon Graham * 24 6-11 1-3 0-0 6 3 0 0 13 - -
Robert Covington * 22 2-8 2-7 4-4 4 2 1 1 10 - -
Jake Layman 33 6-9 4-5 0-1 2 1 2 1 16 - -
Jarrett Culver 22 3-8 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Gorgui Dieng 17 4-7 0-1 1-2 7 1 2 1 9 - -
Noah Vonleh 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 11 1-4 0-2 1-1 3 4 0 0 3 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luke Kennard * 39 8-17 4-9 5-5 7 2 1 0 25 - -
Tony Snell * 30 5-7 4-6 2-2 1 3 1 0 16 - -
Andre Drummond * 28 4-12 0-0 3-3 12 1 4 3 11 - -
Blake Griffin * 23 6-12 1-3 6-8 7 6 0 0 19 - -
Derrick Rose * 19 3-13 0-2 0-0 3 5 2 1 6 - -
Langston Galloway 24 7-11 4-6 0-1 1 2 0 1 18 - -
Markieff Morris 24 3-7 2-2 2-2 6 2 0 0 10 - -
Thon Maker 19 2-2 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Bruce Brown 13 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Tim Frazier 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter