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2019-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 55.7% 44.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% -
Margin 41.1% 58.9% +2.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.8% 58.2% -
Log Adjusted 41.8% 58.2% -
Points Off/Def 40.2% 59.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -9 (104-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 42 9-25 1-8 5-8 11 4 1 3 24 - -
Fred VanVleet * 38 8-18 4-9 3-4 7 10 2 0 23 - -
Marc Gasol * 33 1-2 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 - -
OG Anunoby * 26 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Norman Powell * 25 5-9 1-3 3-3 5 2 0 2 14 - -
Chris Boucher 24 7-11 1-4 0-2 2 1 2 3 15 - -
Terence Davis 16 5-8 3-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 13 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 15 4-6 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Matt Thomas 14 2-3 1-2 0-1 0 2 0 0 5 - -
Stanley Johnson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 37 10-20 2-5 5-6 8 3 2 4 27 - -
LeBron James * 35 5-15 0-2 3-6 13 15 0 1 13 - -
Avery Bradley * 31 4-10 1-4 0-0 4 4 2 0 9 - -
Danny Green * 27 0-5 0-4 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 - -
JaVale McGee * 14 5-11 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 10 - -
Kyle Kuzma 24 6-13 3-7 0-0 5 0 0 0 15 - -
Troy Daniels 17 4-7 3-5 0-0 4 0 0 1 11 - -
Alex Caruso 17 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 4 0 0 3 - -
Dwight Howard 16 3-3 0-0 3-5 6 0 0 0 9 - -
Quinn Cook 11 3-5 1-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 7 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jared Dudley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter