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2019-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 45.9% 54.1% -
Margin 49.2% 50.8% +0.2 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% -
Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.8% 74.2% -
Log Adjusted 25.7% 74.3% -
Points Off/Def 28.9% 71.1% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +11 (124-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 42 9-30 3-13 14-17 8 10 3 0 35 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 38 5-14 4-9 0-0 5 2 0 0 14 - -
Jabari Parker * 36 13-23 1-6 0-3 11 2 2 4 27 - -
Kevin Huerter * 30 5-12 3-8 2-2 5 2 0 0 15 - -
Alex Len * 15 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 2 4 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 40 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 3 2 1 6 - -
Damian Jones 24 4-7 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 8 - -
Tyrone Wallace 16 1-2 0-1 2-3 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Cam Reddish 15 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 2 0 0 - -
Bruno Fernando 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 44 8-17 3-9 11-12 7 6 1 1 30 - -
CJ McCollum * 41 11-23 1-6 0-1 8 4 2 2 23 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 35 7-13 0-0 7-9 12 1 0 3 21 - -
Kent Bazemore * 33 5-13 3-6 0-0 8 0 2 2 13 - -
Mario Hezonja * 23 1-5 0-0 1-1 2 3 2 0 3 - -
Anfernee Simons 24 8-12 3-5 1-1 3 2 2 0 20 - -
Anthony Tolliver 22 2-7 1-5 1-2 7 0 1 0 6 - -
Skal Labissiere 17 0-3 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 1 1 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 15 3-8 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 7 - -
Nassir Little 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Moses Brown 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaylen Hoard 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter