Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | -0.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -2 (119-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 36 | 13-19 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 37 | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 31 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 30 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 29 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 23 | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| George Hill | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 18 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 9-19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 29 | 4-17 | 2-10 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Nerlens Noel * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 29 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 27 | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 18 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
* = starter