Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.1% | 46.9% | -0.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -7 (102-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 37 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 34 | 9-16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 29 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 26 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 25 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 22 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 19 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| TJ Leaf | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alize Johnson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vucevic * | 34 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 30 | 7-13 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 23 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams | 20 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 18 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - | - | |
| Al-Farouq Aminu | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter