Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -2 (98-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 37 | 5-16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 9-23 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 6-19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - | |
| Monte Morris | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 18 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 41 | 8-23 | 3-14 | 6-8 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 27 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 40 | 10-22 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - | |
| Treveon Graham * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Jarrett Culver * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 36 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 7-11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - | |
| Jake Layman | 26 | 4-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 9 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter