Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +6 (114-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burks * | 36 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 34 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 34 | 10-19 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 23 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Damion Lee | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| Ky Bowman | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 30 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 22 | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 20 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 33 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 17 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 15 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter