Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -16 (122-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 28 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 24 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 23 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 25 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 23 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 22 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jae Crowder * | 30 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 29 | 10-17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 27 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 19 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Marko Guduric | 28 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 26 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 20 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bruno Caboclo | 9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter