Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.1% | 27.9% | -5.2 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -20 (115-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 32 | 10-18 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 32 | 9-20 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 22 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 14 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart | 25 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Carsen Edwards | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vincent Poirier | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 27 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 21 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 20 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 26 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 18 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 18 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| DeMarre Carroll | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 9 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter