Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | +1.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +15 (95-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 38 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 24 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 34 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 29 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 23 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 36 | 10-19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 34 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 23 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 25 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Quinn Cook | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Troy Daniels | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter